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A wide-angle view of Donald Trump

Send signed letters to news@nancyonnorwalk.com
Send signed letters to news@nancyonnorwalk.com

We have elected a man to the presidency whose primary goal in life is winning, at whatever cost. He sold himself using the time-honored technique of saying whatever his audience wanted to hear, regardless of whether it was true, ethical or possible. He is clueless about everything except business and entertainment. So why did so many otherwise rational people buy the product?

You can cite a long string of immediate causes: working-class job loss, suspicion of government, loss of male white supremacy to minorities and women, income and wealth inequality, xenophobia, misogyny, ignorance, superstition etc. These are all valid enough, but they are after the fact and often contradictory. Why did so many women vote for a predacious womanizer? Why did working-class people vote for someone who has promised to make the rich richer? I think a more wide-angle view is needed.

Human civilization is totally unplanned. It is far too complex to understand, and entirely unpredictable. Everyone on the planet is now linked through trade and communication, so that events far away can have powerful local effects.

When faced with forces we don’t understand and can’t control, humans have always invented stories to explain what is going on and give the illusion of control. These myths quell our anxieties.

The prevailing myth over the last few hundred years has been the notion of progress through growth. While no one ever defined what “progress” means, we are demonstrably longer-lived, healthier, richer, more ingenious, better informed and safer. Yet we expect more and better, so that standing still feels like a loss, and real loss seems like disaster.

Our economy, social values and politics are founded on the myth of progress through growth. But on our finite planet, providing more people more of everything is impossible. Since we can’t figure out how to stop growing, the planet is showing us how, in unpleasant ways: climate change is but one example. All our current local and national problems, including mass migrations, turmoil in the Middle East and job loss, can be seen as unintended consequences of the myth of progress through growth.

When we feel threatened, we are vulnerable to demagogues who promise us easy solutions to problems that have no easy solutions. That is how we got Trump. Hillary, by reminding us that things really are complicated and threatening, merely raised anxiety; Trump promised solutions.

Don’t worry excessively about the damage Trump can cause. He is a bull in a china shop and is going to make a hell of a mess, but most of the china is locked up behind law, litigation, and sheer inertia. And when his working class supporters find out they have been sold snake oil, they are likely to turn on him.

Your best bet is to get involved in causes you care about: acting reduces anxiety. My cause is to limit the extent of the Sixth Extinction through environmental protection. Yours may be social justice. Whatever it is, I hope it helps build the cooperative and empathetic world we need to survive.

Gordon Tully

Norwalk

Comments

17 responses to “A wide-angle view of Donald Trump”

  1. Piberman

    The great gift of America is that our citizens ignore “pundits” and the “elites” that tell us how to vote. So we shift left for a while, then right and manage to still have the greatest nation in the world. People vote with their feet. That’s why we’re no. 1 for immigrants. Heaven help us if we ever let the “elites” tell us how to run the country. The elites have egg on their faces.
    And that’s quite nice !

  2. Bill Dunne

    Yeah, progress. Who needs it. Mr. Tully puts his chips on Thomas Malthus, who has been proven wrong continuously for the past 218 years.

  3. Bill Dunne

    Yeah, progress. Who needs it. Mr. Tully puts his chips on Thomas Malthus, who has been proven wrong continuously for the past 218 years.

  4. @Pilberman,

    Granted I have an elitist point of view, I think you missed my main point. The cycles between left and right are over: the game has fundamentally changed, and we have to change or suffer the consequences, which are not pretty.

  5. EveT

    “…when [Trump’s] working class supporters find out they have been sold snake oil, they are likely to turn on him.”
    @Gordon, you ignore the fact that the conservative media already have this base covered.
    For years, AM radio talk shows all over America (not to mention Fox News TV & website) have been telling listeners in the flyover states that Barack Obama is a Muslim born in Africa, Michelle Obama is a man in disguise, Hillary Clinton signed a pact with the devil, the Clinton Foundation is nothing but a front for personal enrichment, etc.
    When Trump’s promises turn to dust, rest assured these same pundits will tell their listeners it’s the liberals’ fault.

  6. Paul Lanning

    In three televised presidential debates, not a single question was asked about climate change.

    Now, vowing to rescind all of the executive orders which President Obama issued to safeguard the environment, President-Elect Trump intends to render the EPA powerless. Meanwhile, the overwhelming scientific consensus predicts accelerated melting at the poles if mankind fails to reduce harmful emissions.

    Ms. Clinton won the popular vote.

    There is absolutely no reason to elect our President via the Electoral College. We need a Constitutional Amendment to abolish the Electoral College, so that one person will fully equal one vote!

  7. Bill Dunne

    Now that the climate seems to be cooling, we understand the genius of the scammers when they switched from fanning “global warming” hysteria to heads-I-win-tails-you-lose “climate change.” Gotta give’em credit for cuteness.

  8. EveT, I don’t discount the spread of disinformation, but the people without jobs want action, and Trump simply can’t deliver. Infrastructure enriches civil engineers and contractors, but most of the work is done by machines, so you don’t create many jobs. Trashing trade agreements will have unpredictable consequences.

  9. Carol

    Trump won he is the president elect—-give him a chance,he may surprise all of you.

  10. marija

    Piberman, remember, this country was brought to you by the “elites” – Washington, Jefferson, Madison, Hamilton, Adams, et.al.

  11. Paul Lanning

    Mr. Bill Dunne: Instead of spewing schoolyard taunts, educate yourself.

    http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/

  12. Mr. Dunne, where on earth did you get the idea that the climate was cooling? I have a close friend scientist who has spent his career studying and measuring marshes in Falmouth and has written the textbook on coastal ecosystems. Since he began measuring Sippewissett Marsh in 1971 sea level has risen about a foot, which is three times the global average of about 4″ over that time period.

    The global sea level rise is caused by melting of ice in the arctic and antarctic and the overall expansion of the oceans as they heat up.

    The only way the ice can melt and the sea can get warmer is if the air gets warmer. So global warming is a fact, although some few people still deny that humans are causing it.

    The reason sea level is rising so fast along the Atlantic Coast is a slowing of the circulation of cold deep water in the Atlantic, caused by higher air temperature.

    If you really want to understand why notable people deny the reality, follow the money. If I owned billions of dollars worth of oil and coal, I wouldn’t be particularly happy to be told that I had to keep it in the ground.

    I follow the science pretty closely, and there is plenty of evidence that the official estimates are underestimating the problem.

    Incidentally, I keep the magazine article that first alerted me to global warming. It is dated February 1959.

  13. Bill Dunne

    Mr. Tully… Since you follow the science pretty closely, you might find this interesting: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/06/22/climate-and-human-civilization-for-the-past-4000-years/

    Look especially at that chart (“Central Greenland Temperature 4000BP to Present”). By the way, I’m very surprised that you seem unaware (since even the ultra-gullible news media have been reporting it) that the global climate has not seen any warming for the past 17 years. I should think that would be a clue.

  14. Paul Cantor

    GLOBAL WARMING CONSENSUS:

    http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-warming-scientific-consensus-intermediate.htm

    “That humans are causing global warming is the position of the Academies of Science from 80 countries plus many scientific organizations that study climate science. More specifically, around 95% of active climate researchers actively publishing climate papers endorse the consensus position.

    Authors of seven climate consensus studies — including Naomi Oreskes, Peter Doran, William Anderegg, Bart Verheggen, Ed Maibach, J. Stuart Carlton, and John Cook — co-authored a paper that should settle the expert climate consensus question once and for all. The two key conclusions from the paper are:

    1) Depending on exactly how you measure the expert consensus, it’s somewhere between 90% and 100% that agree humans are responsible for climate change, with most of our studies finding 97% consensus among publishing climate scientists.

    2) The greater the climate expertise among those surveyed, the higher the consensus on human-caused global warming.

    Expert consensus is a powerful thing. People know we don’t have the time or capacity to learn about everything, and so we frequently defer to the conclusions of experts. It’s why we visit doctors when we’re ill. The same is true of climate change: most people defer to the expert consensus of climate scientists. Crucially, as we note in our paper:

    Public perception of the scientific consensus has been found to be a gateway belief, affecting other climate beliefs and attitudes including policy support.

    That’s why those who oppose taking action to curb climate change have engaged in a misinformation campaign to deny the existence of the expert consensus. They’ve been largely successful, as the public badly underestimate the expert consensus, in what we call the “consensus gap.” Only 16% of Americans realize that the consensus is above 90%.

    Scientists need to back up their opinions with research and data that survive the peer-review process. A Skeptical Science peer-reviewed survey of all (over 12,000) peer-reviewed abstracts on the subject ‘global climate change’ and ‘global warming’ published between 1991 and 2011 (Cook et al. 2013) found that over 97% of the papers taking a position on the subject agreed with the consensus position that humans are causing global warming. In a second phase of the project, the scientist authors were emailed and rated over 2,000 of their own papers. Once again, over 97% of the papers taking a position on the cause of global warming agreed that humans are causing it.

    Scientific organizations endorsing the consensus
    The following scientific organizations endorse the consensus position that “most of the global warming in recent decades can be attributed to human activities”:

    American Association for the Advancement of Science
    American Astronomical Society
    American Chemical Society
    American Geophysical Union
    American Institute of Physics
    American Meteorological Society
    American Physical Society
    Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
    Australian Bureau of Meteorology and the CSIRO
    British Antarctic Survey
    Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
    Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
    Environmental Protection Agency
    European Federation of Geologists
    European Geosciences Union
    European Physical Society
    Federation of American Scientists
    Federation of Australian Scientific and Technological Societies
    Geological Society of America
    Geological Society of London
    International Union for Quaternary Research (INQUA)
    International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
    National Center for Atmospheric Research
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    Royal Meteorological Society
    Royal Society of the UK”

  15. Paul Cantor

    THE CONSEQUENCES OF GLOBAL WARMING

    Taken as a whole, the range of published evidence indicates that the net damage costs of climate change are likely to be significant and to increase over time.
    – Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

    http://climate.nasa.gov/effects

    “Global climate change has already had observable effects on the environment. Glaciers have shrunk, ice on rivers and lakes is breaking up earlier, plant and animal ranges have shifted and trees are flowering sooner.

    Effects that scientists had predicted in the past would result from global climate change are now occurring: loss of sea ice, accelerated sea level rise and longer, more intense heat waves…

    Droughts in the Southwest and heat waves (periods of abnormally hot weather lasting days to weeks) everywhere are projected to become more intense, and cold waves less intense everywhere…

    Hurricane-associated storm intensity and rainfall rates are projected to increase as the climate continues to warm…

    Northeast. Heat waves, heavy downpours and sea level rise pose growing challenges to many aspects of life in the Northeast. Infrastructure, agriculture, fisheries and ecosystems will be increasingly compromised. Many states and cities are beginning to incorporate climate change into their planning.

    Northwest. Changes in the timing of streamflow reduce water supplies for competing demands. Sea level rise, erosion, inundation, risks to infrastructure and increasing ocean acidity pose major threats. Increasing wildfire, insect outbreaks and tree diseases are causing widespread tree die-off.

    Southeast. Sea level rise poses widespread and continuing threats to the region’s economy and environment. Extreme heat will affect health, energy, agriculture and more. Decreased water availability will have economic and environmental impacts.

    Midwest. Extreme heat, heavy downpours and flooding will affect infrastructure, health, agriculture, forestry, transportation, air and water quality, and more. Climate change will also exacerbate a range of risks to the Great Lakes.

    Southwest. Increased heat, drought and insect outbreaks, all linked to climate change, have increased wildfires. Declining water supplies, reduced agricultural yields, health impacts in cities due to heat, and flooding and erosion in coastal areas are additional concerns.

  16. Bill Dunne

    Dear Paul and Gordon… Two words: East Anglia. Google it.

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